Inflation on Target, Not Worse The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index, fell 0.1% for the month of June, putting annual inflation at 3.7%, with core PCE in line with forecasts at a 3.3% annual rate. Not a big win, but not the upside inflation surprise markets were bracing for. The PCE […]
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ByTheNumber$ – July 1st, 2026
May Inflation Rise The personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE), the Federal Reserve’s primary price gauge, rose to its highest level since 2023, reinforcing the central bank’s recent tough talk on inflation. The “all items” PCE rose at a seasonally adjusted 4.1% annual rate, the highest since April 2023. Excluding food and energy, the PCE […]
Read MoreByTheNumber$ – April 8th, 2026
Consumer Confidence Rises The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for March rose to 91.8, beating economist expectations of 87.5. The index is benchmarked to 1985 and was assigned a value of 100. Above 100: Indicates a strong, growing economy with high optimism. Below 100: Suggests consumers are more cautious or pessimistic than they were in […]
Read MoreByTheNumber$ – January 14th, 2026
December Inflation Report The December 2025 inflation report held steady at 2.7% annually, matching November’s rate and meeting economists’ expectations. Morgan Stanley’s chief economist noted that the report doesn’t give the Federal Reserve what it needs to cut rates later this month. Investors are placing a 95% probability that rates will be held steady. Tariff […]
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